Israeli Confidence in U.S. President Trump Plummets to 7% Following Iran Agre…

Verdict: False

### Topic
Israeli Confidence in U.S. President Trump Plummets to 7% Following Iran Agreement, Revealing Deepening Internal Divisions and Governmental Distrust.

### Summary
The Jewish People Policy Institute's July 2026 Israeli Society Index shows a catastrophic collapse in Israeli confidence in U.S. President Donald Trump, reaching a record low of 7%. Concurrently, confidence in the Israeli government has fallen to 37%, its lowest in over a year, while internal division is now considered the gravest threat, overshadowing external concerns like Iran. Gaza policy remains a deeply polarizing issue, contributing to societal fragmentation.

### Body
Israeli confidence in U.S. President Donald Trump has plummeted to a record low of 7% in July 2026, according to the Jewish People Policy Institute (JPPI) Israeli Society Index. This marks the lowest level since measurements began, sharply declining from a peak of 34% in March 2026 at the onset of 'Operation Lion's Roar' against Iran. The decline has been consistent, falling from 19% in April, 21% in May, and 12% in June 2026. Among Jewish Israelis, confidence in Trump stands at a mere 5%, with 46% expressing no confidence at all, while Arab Israelis show slightly higher confidence at 15%. This precipitous drop is attributed directly to the signing of the Iran nuclear agreement and Trump's public statements, perceived as a direct betrayal of Israeli security interests. An Israel Democracy Institute (IDI) poll further revealed that only 28% of Israelis believe Israel's security is a central priority for President Trump, a significant fall from 64% among Jewish Israelis in March 2026. Skepticism about Trump's prioritization of Israel's security is widespread across the political spectrum, with 81% of left-wing, 73% of centrist, and 65% of right-wing voters not believing he does. The Iran agreement itself is overwhelmingly viewed as detrimental, with 68% of Israelis (and 68% of Jewish Israelis) describing it as 'very bad for Israel', with no Jewish respondent believing it is 'very good'.

Domestically, stability metrics indicate severe erosion. Confidence in the Israeli government has fallen to 37%, its lowest point in over a year, with secular respondents registering a mere 19%. A Maariv poll confirmed this governmental distrust, with 55% of voters believing the current government cannot make the right decisions. Trust in the IDF's senior command among Jewish Israelis has declined from 82% in March 2026 to 71% in July 2026. The national 'sense of victory' from the war has eroded from 54% to 38% within the last year, and only 38% of Israelis believe the country's strategic security situation is better today than before the February 2026 war with Iran.

Internal division is now considered the gravest threat by 55% of Israelis, dwarfing the 23% who cite the Iranian threat, with 80% worried about Israel's social condition. Gaza remains a deeply polarizing fault line; 68% on the right favor a return to combat, while majorities in all other ideological cohorts advocate for an economic-diplomatic path. Overall, 43% prefer economic-diplomatic measures, 35% prefer returning to fighting, and 14% believe the current situation is reasonable. Among Jewish Israelis, 50% support an economic-diplomatic path for Gaza, and 41% support a return to fighting, while among Arab Israelis, 51% support maintaining the current situation and preserving the ceasefire. The government's legitimacy is further undermined by a striking 83% of voters opposing the inclusion of Haredi parties in a post-election coalition. The 'Jewish left is essentially dead', with only 3% identifying as 'left' and 0% as 'far left', indicating a significant ideological consolidation on the right. Extremists on both sides are seen as 'thwarting compromise' and having 'dragged us toward the abyss of civil war'.

Despite the profound decline in confidence in President Trump, a significant 74% of Israelis still regard the United States as a true friend of Israel. The recent agreement with Lebanon is presented as a unifying success, with 63% of Israelis (including 63% of Jewish and 64% of Arab citizens, and 68% on the right and 62% on the left) believing it is beneficial for Israel. The government maintains a critical base of support among Haredim, with three-quarters (75%) expressing trust, a stark contrast to secular Jews (19%). While overall IDF trust has dipped, it remains robust in the political center (82%) and center-left (79%). There's also a slight increase in Jews' trust in Arabs (from 22% to 26%) over the last year, alongside 70% of voters supporting the inclusion of an Arab party in a future coalition, framed as indicators of underlying societal cohesion. Most Israelis believe that 'on the issues that matter, most Israelis agree with one another', suggesting a belief that deep disputes are solvable.

Internationally, Israel faces escalating condemnation. An AP-NORC poll (June 11-17, 2026) revealed that approximately one-third of American adults, including 30% of Jewish American respondents, believe Israel committed genocide against Palestinians in Gaza. This reflects a marked shift in U.S. public sympathy towards Palestinians since October 7, 2023. Critics characterize Israel's expansion of military control to nearly 70% of Gaza, displacing an estimated 2 million Palestinians, as inconsistent with the ceasefire, fueling further international friction and humanitarian concerns.

### Verification
Multiple polls provide the data:
* The Jewish People Policy Institute (JPPI) Israeli Society Index for July 2026, based on 772 respondents (568 Jewish, 204 Arab) surveyed July 1-5, 2026, by TheMadad.com and Afkar Research. Data was weighted and analyzed by voting and religiosity to represent Israel's adult population.
* The Israel Democracy Institute (IDI) poll, conducted June 28-July 1, 2026, among more than 750 people (603 Jewish, 151 Arab), with a 3.57% margin of error.
* A Maariv poll conducted July 8-9, 2026, with 500 respondents (Jews and Arabs), with a maximum sampling error of 4.4%.
* An AP-NORC poll conducted June 11-17, 2026.

### Supplement
The precipitous decline in confidence in President Trump is directly linked to the signing of the Iran nuclear agreement and his public statements, perceived as a betrayal of Israeli security interests. This policy shift has led to widespread skepticism regarding Trump's prioritization of Israel's security across the political spectrum. Domestically, the 'Jewish left' is noted to be 'essentially dead,' indicating a significant ideological consolidation on the right. Internationally, public perceptions in the U.S. have shifted markedly towards Palestinians since October 7, 2023, with approximately one-third of American adults, including 30% of Jewish Americans, believing Israel committed genocide in Gaza. Critics also characterize Israel's expansion of military control to nearly 70% of Gaza, displacing an estimated 2 million Palestinians, as inconsistent with the ceasefire, further fueling international friction.

### Evidence
1. Jewish People Policy Institute (JPPI) Israeli Society Index, July 2026 (https://jppi.org.il/en/%D7%9E%D7%93%D7%93-%D7%94%D7%97%D7%91%D7%A8%D7%94-%D7%94%D7%99%D7%A9%D7%A8%D7%90%D7%9C%D7%99%D7%AA-%D7%9C%D7%97%D7%95%D7%93%D7%A9-%D7%99%D7%95%D7%9C%D7%99-2026-%D7%A7%D7%A8%D7%99%D7%A1%D7%94-%D7%A9/)
2. Israel Democracy Institute (IDI) poll (June 28-July 1, 2026)
3. Maariv poll (July 8-9, 2026)
4. AP-NORC poll (June 11-17, 2026)
5. TheMadad.com
6. Afkar Research

Evidence and citations